End of Indian Retail??

Subhiksha, one of the leading Indian retail stores, which re-invented the retail business model with its no-frill store formats, is in news in recent months/weeks. It has not paid salary to its employees since October, vendors have not been paid and the operation is standstill.

With absolutely no encouraging news from any of Indian retail stores (Future group has been better comparatively) many have already started writing off Indian retail phenomenon. In my opinion it is not a correct thing to do, and we need to keep some fundamental things in mind before we re-evaluate Indian retail opportunity.

Firstly, India is still experiencing strongest economic growth since last 60 years, with 7 percent GDP in 2008-09 and perhaps between 6 to 7 in 2009-10. This growing economy throws many new opportunities. Secondly, modern retain still accounts only around 7 per cent of the total retail channel in India, still dominated by pop-and-mom stores. Thirdly, the consumer spending pattern is consistently shifting and mall mania has started creeping in. So Indian retail story is intact.

Having these factors; why Subhiksha (And by large retail players) ran in to problems?

Though, Subhiksha had tailor made business plan, but the biggest mistake probably was not building efficient supply chain and super-efficient retail operations organization. This is pretty much required to compete with next door Kirana shops and more even it is margin game. There was no financial and management investment in this area.

Also, Subhiksha tried to grow very fast. In this quest of growth, the basic paradigm of retail seems to be forgotten. Be it supply chain efficiency, optimized store location, store rentals or enhanced customer service which makes customers loyal.

I will go back to basic of what has been taught in B-school, keeping the fundamentals correct in business. There should be a close co-relation between operation and expansion and if we try to focus on only one thing at any given point in time, it is for sure we will run in to troubled waters.